The Israel gate
Israel will not allow Donal Trump to end this war.
Iran has rejected the US terms. JD Vance simply talked about the nuclear issue that Iran will not commit to never developing a nuke. I believe there is a lot more than just that. The US is UNABLE to deliver Netanyahu who is a wildcard at this point and unless the US threatens to pull all support for Israel, which it will not do, then there is no leverage over Netanyahu. The fact that he is desperate for a victory, which in his mind is the overthrow of Iran, this is going to get much worse. The market are screaming about the future. We will address that on the private blog. Iran wants a US guarantee that it will NOT be attacked again, and the US cannot speak for Netanyahu. Trump is not in control of this war. He is now a hostage held by Netanyahu. All he can do is now pretend to be a co-equal.
www.armstrongeconomics.com - Iran Rejects Peace Negotiations
Netanyahu has been trying to sell this war on Iran to just about every president for the last 45 years. He made a big speech before the United Nations in 2010 or 2012 saying, "Oh, we have to take them out."
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at the same time these economic impacts from energy and food etc. What they do is they cause other disputes to rise to the surface.
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EU cannot survive without war with Russia. It's it's breaking up. And when you're It's just like Netanyahu. All right. Afraid of losing power, he pushes this war. Europe is afraid of losing power. Economically, they are a disaster.
The Iranian team did not call Tehran. They had full authority. Dr. Galibba spoke with the leader extensively. He he knew the framework of what was to be negotiated but the other side was not prepared. On the one hand, Vance was surrounded by two Israeli firsters but also he was constantly making phone calls and one of those people who he was calling was Netanyahu. And Netanyahu himself said Vance reports to him which is quite stunning for a tiny colony to the prime minister of a tiny colony to be saying that the vice president of the United States reports to him. I think that's where the root of the problem lies. Netanyahu wrecked and the Zionists wrecked the negotiations just like they wrecked the ceasefire because we had a deal with the United States which included Lebanon. The Pakistani prime minister stressed this point and then Trump said no. And that again was because of Netanyahu. And since Netanyahu is continuing with his genocidal attacks on Lebanon, Iran decided not to allow those extra number of ships to pass through the straight of Homos during the last few days. So, what Netanyahu did by violating the ceasefire and forcing Trump to violate it and also by crashing by wrecking the negotiations, he's made the global economy suffer worse. And I think the coming uh recession and depression are going to hit faster and worse as a result.
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the Iranians believe that Vance did not have the authority. The fact that he constantly had to make phone calls whereas the Iranians didn't have to do so, showed that he was not the person who had the authority to be able to make decisions and obviously his phone calls were preventing him from making any real productive decisions.
by now we all know what really happened especially because of leaks from u Iranian sources including uh members of parliament who were actually in the room, not outside the room, and it's more or less the same thing in the beginning there was a relatively civilized dialogue between Arai and Vance but suddenly everything was completely derailed by the eruption on the scene inside the room by Hackle and Jacko Dump and Dumber, Tweedle D and Tweedle Dum with Coff Kushner. Taking orders from Tel Aviv. Exactly. Taking orders from Tel Aviv. And of course the numbers vary, but the 12 phone calls from JD Vance to the White House plus a JD Vance call with Netanyahu. So obviously it was absolutely impossible to have any sort of decent framework or what Arai was saying that in the beginning we're almost inching closer to a memorandum of understanding which is already enormous considering what happened these past 47 years. And then another thing that was leaked by one of the people who are actually inside the room. Guess what the American delegation wanted? Money. Grifter stuff. Trump having a cut of the toll boos in the street of Hormuz.
they began noticing changes in Donald Trump last fall that he became very short-tempered was forgetting things that uh he had agreed to. And was saying things that he genuinely sincerely believed were true even though they were not. And any attempt to correct him would result in him, you know, pushing back and becoming angry.
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the 10-point plan was accepted basically by JD Vance. You know he didn't do it just on his own. You know, he coordinated it with others in the administration. But when Trump started getting pressure, and Trump was aware of it too, but when he started getting the pressure, the push back from the Zionist crowd, he then completely reversed himself and forgot that he had agreed to it. And so then that led to this, you know, strange scene that we saw unfold in Islamabad of, you know, JD Vance not being the real negotiator. He had to constantly get on the phone to say, "May I do this? May I do that?" And he did that with both Trump and Bibi Netanyahu.
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what I am told now is Iran's air defense has been tremendously upgraded. And they are now in a position where they will be able to fairly easily shoot down our fourth generation fighters. So, you know, we'll see things like and even the F-35 will be quite vulnerable.
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this war in Lebanon and who started it. So, just a quick history dump. This thing started in 1975 when a group of Christians called felanges, Lebanese Christians, attacked a group of Muslims, the Shia and killed them. Massacred women, children. There's about 35 massacred that then started the civil war because Lebanon is divided between, they've got Christians. The Christians, I guess, have always been sort of the president of Lebanon. the Shia, they've been the poorest ones in the country, the Sunnis, and then also Drew, some Drews. And so you've had this sectarian strife. And that initial civil war that started in 75, the Israelis backed those Christians attacking the Muslims. That thing continued until 1990, 15 years. So you you've never really had a peaceful settlement. And you know the 80s were particularly turbulent because you had the bombings of the US embassy. The attack on the Marines killed 241. You had a number of Americans taken hostage and all of that was taking place in the backdrop because the United States was involved with attacking Iran using Iraq as a proxy and the United States was involved siding with Israel attacking Muslims in Lebanon. you you know so we've been mucking around meddling in that part of the world for quite a while.
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that spike of their so-called terrorism by Iran in the 1980s was a direct reaction to us attacking Iran and using chemical weapons against Iran and then backing the Israelis and killing Muslims, Shia Muslims in Lebanon. you know the massacres that took place where the Christian Filanges they were allowed to go into these refugee camps and just slaughter women and children you know understand human n they may have been Shia Muslims but they are human beings and human beings around the world react in the same way if you come in and kill my family I am filled with rage and I will seek revenge
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They have been victims of US imperialism. Period.
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I think this is likely to stretch out to at least August. And the reason I pick August is that the full economic impact of how bad this is will not be affecting us until then. We we've got too many people on Wall Street and the administration. They're in denial. They're pretending we can just keep going long that this is not as bad as it appears. No, it's bad. It's worse. But I think it's going to be to August before we finally realize we got to we got to stop this.
the longer this thing drags on, the bigger problem that America is going to have to reply to anything else anywhere else. And I'm just telling you, I think it's already we're in the red category to where if something did happen somewhere, god forbid, in Asia or in in Europe somewhere, and we had to go fight an unexpected war, we'd be screwed. I mean, I'm just going to call it what it is. Straight up. Our national security capability has been severely degraded because of this foolish excursion, as the president calls it. This war of choice, this war that violates American law, violates morality, all of those things that has been costed so far. So why would we want to get into a situation to where the physical cost has already been astronomical when our security was never threatened up to this point?
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we need to start asking some hard questions. Why did we go down this path? Why are we spending all this money? And why are we not taking the off-ramp now? Now, I was emphatic in in the spring of 2022 that at the Istanbul meetings between the United States in and Russia and Ukraine that there was a deal on the table and it would have been it would have gotten the war off the table in a couple of months. And just think how many hundreds of thousands of people would still be alive today. And how much more territory in Ukraine would still belong to them. And how many more cities would still be fully operational and no one would have ever had to leave and flee the millions of people that have fled and go elsewhere in Europe. How many of that how big of a cost to humanity, much less us and our allies, has that cost because of our foolish unwillingness to take a diplomatic deal on the table? We are in a similar situation right now. We have a deal on the table that can be done. It can be based on the Iranian 10-point plan, which is something that we would hate just like it would that the Istanbul something was something the Ukrainians hated and didn't like. It would have taken a bitter pill, but that would have been profoundly better, orders of magnitude better. Had they taken that bitter pill then, it been it been ancient history by now. That have been four years ago. four years ago is is that would have been taken care of. Half these cities that were already damaged would have been rebuilt and these other ones have never have been torn down. That's the cost of letting go with a diplomatic off-ramp when you have it because you it's an unpleasant here today. We have an offramp, too. President Trump would have to take a bitter pill. He would have to swallow and take a lot of heat domestically. There's no doubt about it. It would be a big problem, especially heading into the midterms. There's no question about it. I'm not trying to make it sound like it's an easy solution. It's a hard call, but it is desperately necessary. And this is where we need actual manly leadership. So, you want to talk about President Trump being this great guy? Okay, here's your chance to prove it. We need leadership right now like we have never needed it before in my lifetime. Maybe the last time was like 1962, the Cuban missile crisis when we needed some really strong, firm life and death leadership, which we got from JFK that prevented a nuclear war.
It's not Hezbollah occupying Israeli territory. It's Israel occupying Lebanese territory. And on a daily basis, a daily basis, Hezbollah launches anti-tank rockets into northern Israel to take out Israeli tanks. They launch FPV drones. You know, this is NO spinning things. There is active combat taking place in that yellow zone. There are tunnel networks that Israel doesn't control. Israeli troops are being slaughtered on a daily basis
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the Zionist crowd went nuts and Trump started getting phone calls and within, you know, eight hours, boom, he committed his complete backflip, walked away from that agreement, what had been agreed to. Anyway, Vance went ahead to Islamabad, but they sent minders Wickoff and Kushner and you know, as the British diplomat said, those two are Mossad assets that they are working for the Israelis not not working for America first, but Israel first. So Iran is willing you know, they were under, they were getting, let's call it some polite pressure from China and that's why Pakistan then stepped in as that intermediary to say let's get a negotiated way out. But based upon what Bessent did yesterday and his attack on China, I think the Chinese are going to say to the Iranians you're right those Americans they're crazy as hell go beat the go beat him go beat them up
