The agreement between the US and Iran
The Full Text of the Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran
The Pakistani intelligence reported that MSAD wanted
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to eliminate Simon when he was in Switzerland
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and the understanding on the part of intelligence is Pakistani intelligence was that and they said they said they
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sent some sort of warning to MSAD to Israeli government if you do that we're going to we're going to respond
[. . .]
the American objective has basically come down to opening the straight of Hormuz to shipping.
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There was an abortive attempt by the International Maritime Organization
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working uh with um someone um to open a route through the strait along the
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Omani coast. Iran successfully countered that with an attack on a tanker making it clear that Iran
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controls the strait and that the UN United Nations the IMO is part of the UN does not have the ability to work
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with the United States or foreign powers to avoid the Iranian control of
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the strait. So that is the main thing for the United States because this affects the global economy and the
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American economy and therefore the midterm elections. So it all comes down to Donald Trump's fear of humiliation in
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the fall.
[. . .]
apparently the Gulf Arabs are talking to the
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Iranians about removing the American bases from their soil. Apparently the Americans are thinking about removing
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those bases anyway because they've been so badly damaged by the Iranians. The extent of the damage is only now
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beginning to be really reported. And the talk of moving them to Israel is not an answer because Iran can strike
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Israel. Very clearly it does. It has moving American bases to Israel would simply increase the risk of Iranian
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strikes uh on Israel, not reduce it.
[. . .]
Iran's terms, coincide very closely with the status quo.
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It doesn't have to do anything. just keep going as it is. It will control the straight of Hormuz. It will do its oil
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trade in yen rather than dollars. It will charge a toll in the straight. It will exempt some GCC
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countries from reprisal and not others until the others agree with it on some framework for managing a peaceful
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coexistence. So, Iran is in a very strong position. And when you add into this the sort of statement that
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Treasury Secretary Bessent made about insisting on Iranian use of the US dollar for oil trade, you've just
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handed Iran yet another bit of leverage to use in the negotiations because Iran is not going to agree to
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that and the United States does not have the ability to impose those terms on Iran. So US just is just looking at
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weaker and weaker rather than stronger and stronger and this is reverberating in American politics.
[. . .]
what the Zionists have been doing is unspeakably cruel and inhumane
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and just totally unacceptable to anyone with an ounce of morality. And by the way, Jewish Americans distinguish
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themselves generally by their, devotion to ethical reasoning and their insistent insistence on moral decisions.
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And they, many of them are horrified by what Israel has become and what it is doing. So, Israel has boxed itself in.
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It's going to have to make a choice. And at the moment it looks like it's going to make the wrong choice
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and the wrong choice will lead to its destruction.
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Not by not by Arab armies, not by Iran, but by itself. It's committing suicide.
There are very few grown-ups around in politics in the
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Western world right now. And somehow they think that taunting a nuclear superpower is a smart idea.
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And the smaller the states, like the Baltic states, the more they're engaged
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in the taunting and uh saying it's all bluff. Don't worry about it. Until, of
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course, it's not a bluff. These people are reckless with our lives. It's really really quite despicable.
what the West working with Ukraine is trying to
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do here is to punish uh the Russian uh homeland and therefore improve Ukraine's
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position at the bargaining table. That's the idea here. Nobody's really talking about winning the war with these
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attacks, just getting a better deal. Now you asked the question where is the red line or where are the red lines? It's
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not clear uh but it does seem quite apparent when you listen to the Russians talk that if this continues and that
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indeed if it accelerates that the Russians will retaliate at some point and it seems likely that they will
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retaliate by striking into Europe. But again where that red line is is very
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hard to tell. But I want to emphasize that if you look at the recent G7 meeting that took place in France, you
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remember President Trump was there, right?
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It's quite clear that President Trump uh showed uh that he was quite
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enthusiastic about these attacks and he thought that the Ukrainians
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were doing the right thing. And then when the summit was over with, a
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declaration was issued which said that the G7 countries would continue to
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support and accelerate, I underline the word accelerate the development of long
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range capabilities for hitting [from] Ukraine. This is really quite remarkable. And we also read in that
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same declaration that was issued after the summit again on June 17th that we were going to increase our efforts to
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damage the Russian economy. And as you would expect, the Russians basically see this as evidence that not only the
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Europeans are upping the ante in this war against Russia, but so is the United States.
[. . .]
If you look at
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what's actually happening on the battlefield, you look at the state of the Russian economy, you look at Putin's position inside of Russia, there's no
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reason to think that the Russians are on the ropes and you're going to get them to the bargaining table uh and exact a good deal out of them. I think this is
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delusional, but Western leaders seem to believe this.
[. . .]
I think he's [Netanyahu] sophisticated enough to know the Greater Israel project is not going well. He surely understands
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he's lost in Iran. He's in deep trouble in southern Lebanon. Hezbollah is inflicting significant casualties on the
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IDF. The IDF is basically worn out. Despite what has happened in Gaza
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regarding the genocide, the fact is that Hamas is still intact and it's still a formidable fighting force. So the
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idea that Israel has accomplished great goals and greater Israel is looking like it's working out swimmingly is an
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argument that's almost impossible to make these days. And I think that Netanyahu understands this. But the question is, what does he then do when
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he sees himself and his country in trouble? And the answer is he doubles down. This is why when you think about
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Israel moving forward, it's going to be just more war, more horror, more
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genocide.
the first requirement for talks
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about a peace between Iran and the United States um the first requirement is peace in
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Lebanon. that is a withdrawal of the Israeli forces and the sessation of the
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violence Israel has been delivering to Lebanon. And so on the one hand you
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have JD Vance talking to the Iranians and agreeing that there should
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be peace in Lebanon and on the other hand you have Marco Rubio cementing
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the Israeli occupation and the continuing war in Lebanon. So this is
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one of two things. Either it's complete u insanity in the Trump administration,
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that is to say schizophrenia, or it's some sort of de deceitful
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maneuver on the part of the Trump administration on the one hand, or it's rivalry between JD Vance and Marco Rubio
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on the other, with one undoing what the other does. Frankly, I don't think
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any of the any of the Trump administration's policies in West Asia make any sense at
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all in terms of American interests. They're not even consistent as the case
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of Lebanon that you raise suggests. And it's pretty clear that the Trump
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administration is not prepared to reconcile itself to the failure of its policies toward
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Iran and Israel. And therefore
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the belief in Thran that the 60-day pause followed maybe
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by another 60 days is nothing but an effort to prepare a further attack
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to replenish oil stocks, manipulate oil markets, manipulate politics in
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the United States. as a result and to rebuild stocks of weapons and
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defensive systems like interceptors for missiles. You know this is all it is
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and that Trump will try to string this out through the midterm elections and then
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he'll resume the attack on on Iran. I gather that is a pretty widespread
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belief in Tehran.
[. . .]
Israel is
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pushing Turkey and Iran together. Uh, and just as the United States pushed
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China and Russia together. Uh, and you could hardly come up with a more stupid
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Israeli policy than the than this.
we
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have lost sight of what it is to be human. We are undermining civilization our civilization and all civilizations
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by these sort of completely immoral actions that we take place. We have to
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try and find a way of recreating a civilizational structure that provides
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if you like the moral foundations for how people behave and how they are it they always come from basically from
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your old myths and narratives of a civilization. These are the stories, the moral stories that create the
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architecture by which ordinary people steer their lives and live. And when you lose that, you are on a path to utter
destruction.
Finland has approved the transit and
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deployment of NATO nuclear weapons on its territory.
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Lithuania announced earlier today it would do the same.
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Chancellor Mertz in Germany is cheering them on. Now, what you have here is the
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makings of a Cuban missile crisis in reverse. For those who are too young to know what happened in 1962, the Russians
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put strategic missiles in Cuba with nuclear tips on them and Kennedy said, "No, that's too far. Withdraw them." And
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Chrusjtjov
, thank God, did. Now, if these people put nuclear weapons in Finland
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and in Lithuania and, God forbid, elsewhere, the Russians are going to react very, very strongly and they're going to try everything they can do to
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prevent them from going in there. If they're in there, I can't vouch what the Russians will do, but they have all manner of ways to retaliate like
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Oreshnik
and all other kinds of sophisticated weaponry that they will use to attack a NATO nation in my view
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if it deploys nuclear weapons on its border. That's what Ukraine was all about, of course. And that's why
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Finland, Lithuania, now they have NATO members, they're going to feel the Russian blows if they go ahead with this this project.
